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Red31
78565.1
835211.3
590111.7
Blue26
96515.4
25918.5
267310.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3126010204050603126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#21
11.70.4
11.511.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 1.6
2673
#24
10.10.9
9.58.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Second
11.30.4
12.512.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 2.9
2591
#11
8.50.9
7.06.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
7856
#13
5.10.4
3.63.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 0.3
9651
#26
5.40.9
7.36.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned