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Red39
78653.8
170125.5
722411.5
Blue61
81522.2
30968.4
46807.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354002060803961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.2
18.919.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 3.3
815
#2
22.20.1
20.120.2
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Second
7224
#18
11.50.3
10.510.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 3.1
8.40.1
9.09.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
7865
#39
3.80.3
2.73.0
Auto1.6
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 3.3
4680
#10
7.10.1
6.16.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned