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Red27
47586.8
43906.9
476810.2
Blue52
54787.9
353924.4
48519.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25370102030405060702752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#19
10.20.3
8.89.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 14.2
3539
#12
24.41.6
19.220.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
4390
#30
6.90.3
7.57.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 2.6
4851
#20
9.41.6
5.77.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
4758
#36
6.80.3
7.88.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 1.1
5478
#23
7.91.0
6.87.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed