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Red66
81522.2
828012.7
25918.5
Blue34
71457.2
46807.1
51976.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4515010203040506070806634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#2
22.21.3
20.221.5
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 15.0
7145
#25
7.20.7
2.63.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Second
12.72.0
10.412.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 5.5
4680
#10
7.10.7
6.26.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End1.0
Third
2591
#11
8.52.0
6.28.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
red by 1.7
5197
#34
6.70.7
8.79.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned