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Red47
78565.1
717429.6
719611.8
Blue53
97514.7
590111.7
262021.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060801001204753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.2
27.928.1
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End2.7
red by 7.8
21.80.2
18.218.3
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
7196
#29
11.80.4
9.610.0
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End0.4
red by 0.1
5901
#21
11.70.2
11.912.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Third
7856
#13
5.10.4
3.94.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
red by 0.4
9751
#28
4.70.3
5.65.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned