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Red18
476810.2
25918.5
48383.4
Blue61
71457.2
719611.8
828012.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2529010204050601861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#19
10.20.5
9.18.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 2.5
12.71.5
12.413.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
2591
#11
8.50.5
8.27.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 3.4
7196
#29
11.81.6
10.011.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End0.4
Third
4838
#32
3.40.5
6.05.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 3.8
7145
#25
7.21.5
3.34.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed