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Red50
30968.4
717429.6
51976.7
Blue13
36196.0
96189.6
78565.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571302040801005013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.2
28.128.3
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End2.7
red by 20.0
9618
#38
9.60.4
6.15.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Second
8.40.2
9.09.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 2.4
3619
#37
6.00.4
6.35.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Third
5197
#34
6.70.3
9.39.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 1.6
7856
#13
5.10.4
4.34.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed