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Red45
170125.5
50652.9
54675.6
Blue19
54787.9
57566.9
96515.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040506070804519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.0
20.921.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 17.7
5478
#23
7.91.0
7.86.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Second
5467
#35
5.61.3
4.76.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 1.3
5756
#16
6.91.4
10.59.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Third
5065
#15
2.91.3
2.53.9
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 2.5
9651
#26
5.41.5
6.24.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed