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Red30
97514.7
36196.0
609915.2
Blue66
78653.8
12321.7
476810.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273401020405060703066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#17
15.20.2
14.514.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 6.5
123
#7
21.71.2
19.821.1
Auto10.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
3619
#37
6.00.2
5.95.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 4.1
4768
#19
10.21.2
8.69.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
9751
#28
4.70.2
4.94.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
red by 0.9
7865
#39
3.81.2
1.62.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned