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Red24
51976.7
828012.7
55323.5
Blue29
25918.5
20484.0
60964.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321701040506070802429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.3
13.913.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 4.2
2591
#11
8.50.0
7.77.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Second
5197
#34
6.70.3
9.79.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 2.1
6096
#22
4.60.0
6.66.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Third
5532
#31
3.50.3
3.33.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.2
End0.4
blue by 0.4
2048
#40
4.00.0
3.13.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned