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Red42
30968.4
353924.4
20484.0
Blue42
50652.9
81522.2
609915.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39452060804242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#12
24.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 2.2
815
#2
22.2
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Second
8.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 6.8
6099
#17
15.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Third
2048
#40
4.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End0.5
red by 1.1
5065
#15
2.9
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed