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Red49
476810.2
78565.1
36329.1
Blue38
267310.1
57566.9
60964.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2330010405060704938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#19
10.20.6
9.810.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Level
2673
#24
10.11.2
10.59.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Second
3632
#27
9.10.6
7.88.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End0.6
red by 2.2
5756
#16
6.91.2
9.18.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Third
7856
#13
5.10.6
4.04.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
red by 0.5
6096
#22
4.61.3
6.65.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed