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Red60
25918.5
776936.1
719611.8
Blue22
96189.6
92557.0
97514.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6415040801001206022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.4
33.333.7
Auto12.9
Teleop21.3
End2.0
red by 26.5
9618
#38
9.60.2
6.76.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Second
7196
#29
11.80.5
11.111.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End0.4
red by 4.8
9255
#33
7.00.2
8.08.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Third
2591
#11
8.50.5
7.68.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
red by 3.8
9751
#28
4.70.2
4.74.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed