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Red23
47586.8
835211.3
46807.1
Blue6
48383.4
51976.7
43906.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3225020406080236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.31.2
11.710.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 4.5
4390
#30
6.91.4
8.87.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Second
4680
#10
7.11.2
8.97.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End1.0
red by 0.4
5197
#34
6.71.4
9.48.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Third
4758
#36
6.81.2
7.56.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
red by 3.4
4838
#32
3.41.4
5.03.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed