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Red10
43906.9
60964.6
50652.9
Blue55
47586.8
170125.5
25918.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14460204060801055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4390
#30
6.90.5
7.46.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 18.7
25.50.4
23.223.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Second
6096
#22
4.60.5
5.34.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 3.8
2591
#11
8.50.5
8.18.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
5065
#15
2.90.5
3.93.3
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 3.8
4758
#36
6.80.5
6.36.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed