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Red35
20484.0
48519.4
96189.6
Blue41
262021.8
722411.5
71457.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174604060801003541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9618
#38
9.60.8
6.97.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 12.2
21.80.1
20.921.0
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
4851
#20
9.40.8
9.09.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 2.0
7224
#18
11.50.1
10.911.0
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Third
2048
#40
4.00.9
3.14.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 3.2
7145
#25
7.20.1
6.46.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed