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Red22
51976.7
60299.9
92557.0
Blue65
55323.5
78565.1
12321.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303201020405060702265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6029
#14
9.91.2
11.210.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
blue by 11.8
123
#7
21.70.5
20.921.4
Auto10.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
9255
#33
7.01.2
8.27.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
red by 1.9
7856
#13
5.10.5
4.65.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Third
5197
#34
6.71.3
8.06.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 3.2
5532
#31
3.50.5
3.13.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned