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Red70
365517.9
258620.2
61128.3
Blue36
85724.4
715419.4
97555.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384002060801007036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.1
11.212.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 4.2
857
#3
24.40.0
15.315.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Second
17.91.1
14.515.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
blue by 1.5
7154
#12
19.40.0
13.013.0
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Third
6112
#19
8.31.1
9.310.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
red by 2.9
9755
#35
5.40.0
7.97.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed