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Red54
91885.2
776816.8
656920.8
Blue17
972210.3
663713.2
54866.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353002060801005417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.4
12.013.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 7.6
6637
#10
13.21.2
12.411.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Second
16.81.4
11.613.0
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 6.4
9722
#22
10.31.2
7.36.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Third
9188
#13
5.21.4
7.79.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 1.0
5486
#11
6.21.2
8.06.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed