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Red21
49886.6
58785.9
360214.4
Blue18
97332.3
608810.4
65583.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2525010203040502118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.4
9.59.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
red by 4.0
6088
#30
10.41.6
9.88.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Second
4988
#37
6.60.4
4.94.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.8
red by 3.0
6558
#25
3.71.6
7.86.2
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Third
5878
#36
5.90.4
8.37.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.4
End1.8
red by 3.6
9733
#38
2.31.6
5.03.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed