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Red37
954810.2
92497.8
437518.0
Blue21
60796.3
13228.4
782616.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829102040503721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.7
10.29.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 1.5
7826
#15
16.51.0
7.46.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Second
9548
#31
10.20.7
7.87.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.3
red by 1.8
1322
#21
8.41.0
7.26.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Third
9249
#34
7.80.7
8.17.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
red by 1.4
6079
#32
6.31.0
10.19.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed