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Red66
439134.9
656920.8
778213.6
Blue20
360214.4
60796.3
608810.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6123040801006620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.0
21.422.4
Auto16.5
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 20.5
14.40.6
9.18.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
Second
20.81.0
13.414.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 10.4
6088
#30
10.40.6
8.27.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Third
7782
#14
13.61.0
15.616.5
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
red by 7.2
6079
#32
6.30.6
7.67.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed