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Red43
159618.4
353710.0
85724.4
Blue10
91885.2
97332.3
57068.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382101030506070804310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
24.41.2
15.316.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 16.3
5706
#24
8.11.2
8.77.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Second
18.41.2
6.37.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 13.2
9188
#13
5.21.2
9.17.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Third
3537
#23
10.01.2
10.912.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 7.7
9733
#38
2.31.2
3.42.1
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed