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Red40
437518.0
63459.2
365517.9
Blue11
92497.8
611310.1
48279.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352701020304050604011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
9.910.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 7.9
6113
#18
10.11.6
9.57.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Second
17.90.5
15.616.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 8.2
4827
#28
9.71.6
6.85.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Third
6345
#27
9.20.5
5.05.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 1.4
9249
#34
7.81.6
9.27.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed