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Red38
61128.3
776816.8
63459.2
Blue51
48279.7
782616.5
360214.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3624060801003851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.8
16.016.8
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 0.3
7826
#15
16.52.5
9.612.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Second
6345
#27
9.20.8
5.56.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.2
blue by 5.2
14.42.5
8.611.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
Third
6112
#19
8.30.8
9.510.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 1.4
4827
#28
9.72.5
5.27.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned