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Red41
92497.8
656920.8
60796.3
Blue56
91885.2
437518.0
483511.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280204060801004156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.1
14.415.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 2.8
18.00.5
10.410.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
9249
#34
7.81.1
7.68.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 4.0
4835
#20
11.80.5
8.08.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Third
6079
#32
6.31.1
7.18.2
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 1.2
9188
#13
5.20.5
7.88.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned