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Red57
972210.3
159618.4
439134.9
Blue61
54866.2
97737.9
365517.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48300204060801005761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.7
25.427.2
Auto16.5
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 17.0
17.91.0
15.414.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Second
18.41.7
7.99.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 10.5
9773
#16
7.91.0
8.27.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Third
9722
#22
10.31.7
8.29.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
red by 4.2
5486
#11
6.21.0
6.05.0
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed