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Red36
360214.4
97555.4
65583.7
Blue18
13228.4
63459.2
97332.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271302040506070803618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.41.8
11.19.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
red by 5.2
6345
#27
9.20.1
6.36.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Second
9755
#35
5.41.8
7.25.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 2.9
1322
#21
8.40.1
5.35.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Third
6558
#25
3.71.8
4.12.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
red by 1.4
9733
#38
2.30.1
1.51.6
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed