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Red33
60796.3
776816.8
967412.1
Blue12
58785.9
353710.0
91885.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403201020506070803312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.2
16.816.6
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 6.8
3537
#23
10.02.0
11.59.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Second
9674
#17
12.10.2
9.99.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 6.2
5878
#36
5.92.0
9.97.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.4
End1.8
Third
6079
#32
6.30.2
8.28.0
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 1.2
9188
#13
5.22.0
8.46.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed