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Red52
715419.4
57026.0
57068.1
Blue13
61128.3
92497.8
483511.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34300204060801005213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#12
19.40.5
15.415.9
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 7.6
4835
#20
11.82.4
8.56.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Second
5706
#24
8.10.5
7.98.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
6112
#19
8.32.4
10.37.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Third
5702
#29
6.00.5
7.17.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.3
blue by 1.7
9249
#34
7.82.4
8.76.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed