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Red40
608810.4
97737.9
776816.8
Blue16
57026.0
91885.2
61128.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372201030506070804016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.9
16.617.5
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 8.4
6112
#19
8.30.7
7.97.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Second
6088
#30
10.40.9
7.78.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End1.6
red by 4.3
5702
#29
6.00.7
7.67.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Third
9773
#16
7.90.9
7.38.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
red by 2.7
9188
#13
5.20.7
6.45.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed