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Red33
782616.5
778213.6
353710.0
Blue43
553415.4
13228.4
258620.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453502060801003343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7826
#15
16.51.3
13.812.6
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 3.7
20.21.1
14.615.7
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
7782
#14
13.61.3
16.014.8
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 1.9
5534
#33
15.41.1
13.014.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
3537
#23
10.01.3
9.68.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 1.6
1322
#21
8.41.1
5.46.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned