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Red40
483511.8
258620.2
360214.4
Blue28
60796.3
48279.7
553415.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402802060801004028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.0
18.818.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 4.8
5534
#33
15.40.1
13.713.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Second
14.40.0
8.78.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
red by 4.7
4827
#28
9.70.1
7.47.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Third
4835
#20
11.80.0
7.67.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
red by 5.4
6079
#32
6.30.1
5.96.0
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed