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Red50
57068.1
85724.4
54866.2
Blue17
49886.6
972210.3
13228.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3918060805017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
24.41.2
20.321.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 14.1
9722
#22
10.30.2
8.98.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Second
5706
#24
8.11.2
8.810.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
1322
#21
8.40.2
5.95.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Third
5486
#11
6.21.2
3.64.7
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 0.5
4988
#37
6.60.2
3.83.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed