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Red36
92497.8
353710.0
553415.4
Blue62
159618.4
48279.7
61128.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30340102040506070803662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#33
15.40.7
13.814.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 3.0
18.41.1
16.417.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Second
3537
#23
10.00.7
8.18.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 0.3
4827
#28
9.71.1
7.58.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Third
9249
#34
7.80.7
5.86.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 0.6
6112
#19
8.31.1
6.67.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed