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Red18
57068.1
97737.9
13228.4
Blue58
776816.8
54866.2
258620.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225104060801001858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#21
8.40.5
5.75.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
blue by 11.9
20.20.9
18.819.7
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
5706
#24
8.10.5
10.09.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 8.6
16.80.9
18.919.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
9773
#16
7.90.5
8.07.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
red by 1.8
5486
#11
6.20.9
4.75.7
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed