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Red43
57026.0
49886.6
656920.8
Blue17
63459.2
60796.3
58785.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312701020405060704317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.2
17.318.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 11.6
6345
#27
9.20.9
10.49.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Second
4988
#37
6.61.2
3.64.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.8
red by 0.3
6079
#32
6.30.9
6.05.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
5702
#29
6.01.2
6.67.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.3
red by 0.1
5878
#36
5.90.9
8.37.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed