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Red51
483511.8
85724.4
972210.3
Blue57
715419.4
360214.4
611310.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060801005157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
24.41.2
21.522.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 5.1
7154
#12
19.40.9
14.915.8
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Second
4835
#20
11.81.2
7.68.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
blue by 2.6
14.40.9
8.79.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
Third
9722
#22
10.31.2
8.89.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
red by 0.2
6113
#18
10.10.9
8.29.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned