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Red72
782616.5
439134.9
77135.8
Blue25
65583.7
61128.3
353710.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6315040801001207225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.7
32.534.2
Auto16.5
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 24.9
3537
#23
10.00.4
8.89.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Second
7826
#15
16.51.8
14.316.2
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 8.2
6112
#19
8.30.4
7.78.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Third
7713
#26
5.81.7
4.76.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End1.3
red by 2.1
6558
#25
3.70.5
3.03.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed