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Red50
49886.6
715419.4
437518.0
Blue53
656920.8
360214.4
97737.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060801001205053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#12
19.41.0
15.816.9
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
blue by 1.5
20.81.0
18.519.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
18.01.0
16.817.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 3.6
14.41.0
9.610.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
Third
4988
#37
6.61.0
4.85.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.8
blue by 1.3
9773
#16
7.91.0
7.58.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed