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Red39
65583.7
553415.4
967412.1
Blue38
54866.2
60796.3
611310.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3320010405060703938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#33
15.40.5
14.515.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.7
red by 5.3
6113
#18
10.10.3
9.19.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Second
9674
#17
12.10.5
10.310.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 5.7
6079
#32
6.30.3
5.15.4
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
6558
#25
3.70.5
3.53.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 2.5
5486
#11
6.20.3
5.75.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned