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Red40
608810.4
782616.5
972210.3
Blue44
663713.2
483511.8
48279.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402902060801004044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7826
#15
16.50.0
16.216.2
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 3.3
6637
#10
13.21.4
10.011.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Second
6088
#30
10.40.0
9.09.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End1.6
blue by 1.4
4835
#20
11.81.4
8.710.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Third
9722
#22
10.30.0
9.99.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
red by 0.6
4827
#28
9.71.4
8.610.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned