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Red45
353710.0
97332.3
656920.8
Blue39
778213.6
49886.6
954810.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310204060804539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.7
19.520.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 7.2
7782
#14
13.60.8
12.513.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Second
3537
#23
10.00.7
9.310.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 0.2
9548
#31
10.20.8
9.910.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.3
Third
9733
#38
2.30.7
1.62.3
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
blue by 4.4
4988
#37
6.60.8
5.86.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed