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Red57
60796.3
159618.4
715419.4
Blue23
97737.9
77135.8
97555.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481904060805723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#12
19.40.4
16.917.2
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 11.4
9773
#16
7.90.6
8.57.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Second
18.40.4
18.018.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 12.6
7713
#26
5.80.6
6.35.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
6079
#32
6.30.4
5.45.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 0.9
9755
#35
5.40.6
6.05.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned