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Red48
360214.4
13228.4
715419.4
Blue43
60796.3
656920.8
258620.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435402060801001204843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#12
19.40.2
18.718.9
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
blue by 1.5
20.80.1
20.920.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
14.40.2
13.813.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
blue by 5.9
20.20.1
20.320.2
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
1322
#21
8.40.2
7.77.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 2.0
6079
#32
6.30.1
6.46.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7