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Red36
954810.2
776816.8
365517.9
Blue54
61128.3
159618.4
437518.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524910203040607080903654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.2
18.418.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
blue by 0.5
18.40.1
18.418.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Second
16.80.2
17.317.0
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 1.2
18.00.1
18.018.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
9548
#31
10.20.2
10.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.3
red by 1.8
6112
#19
8.30.1
8.38.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2