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Red69
13228.4
360214.4
715419.4
Blue50
54866.2
782616.5
553415.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801006950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#12
19.40.6
17.217.8
Auto11.4
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 2.8
7826
#15
16.50.3
16.016.3
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Second
14.40.6
12.212.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
blue by 1.0
5534
#33
15.40.3
14.915.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
1322
#21
8.40.6
6.26.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 2.2
5486
#11
6.20.3
5.65.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6