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Red50
150214.1
168425.9
24713.3
Blue90
705625.8
546042.2
499412.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589502040801201401605090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#25
25.90.4
27.226.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End1.2
blue by 16.3
42.20.2
41.341.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Second
1502
#37
14.10.4
17.016.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 11.7
7056
#28
25.80.2
29.729.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End1.1
Third
247
#35
13.30.4
12.311.8
Auto8.1
Teleop2.8
End2.5
red by 1.0
4994
#27
12.30.2
10.811.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed