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Red44
6824.7
92429.2
778414.3
Blue56
5124.6
283417.2
553023.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528602040601001201401604456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#23
24.70.4
23.923.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
red by 0.1
51
#20
24.61.2
25.023.8
Auto12.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Second
7784
#29
14.30.4
15.815.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 9.0
5530
#13
23.41.2
26.024.9
Auto6.3
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
9242
#38
9.20.4
10.910.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 8.0
2834
#18
17.21.2
22.321.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsMissed