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Red94
721124.8
49426.9
860833.7
Blue68
999419.5
50328.8
24525.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98772040601201409468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#12
33.70.5
39.039.5
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End4.5
red by 5.0
503
#22
28.80.3
31.431.1
Auto12.6
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
494
#7
26.90.5
27.427.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 1.3
245
#30
25.50.3
30.530.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Third
7211
#15
24.80.5
19.920.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 5.3
9994
#24
19.50.5
10.510.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed